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Short guides to understand prediction markets and futures, and to get started from Mexico.

• What is a prediction market?

  What they are, how they work, why their prices mean something and where they fall short.

• Price = probability: how to read a market

  What 70% means, what it pays if you’re right, buy and sell prices, volume and points.

• Prediction markets from Mexico

  Which questions matter in Mexico, what to keep in mind and how to get started in Spanish.

• How to deposit with SPEI

  What SPEI is, the CLABE, step by step, the CEP receipt and common mistakes.

• What are futures?

  Long and short, margin, leverage, liquidation and funding, explained simply.

• Fed rate cut probability

  What the market expects from the Fed’s next decision, live, and how to read it.

• Will Banxico cut rates? What the market expects

  Banxico’s next decision in probabilities, and what moves it.